Reliability of Operational Global Forecast System and a Local Implementation of WAVEWATCH III during an Explosive Cyclone in South America in June 2020
نویسندگان
چکیده
Resumo Ocorreu um ciclone na costa sul do Brasil entre 30/06/2020 e 01/07/2020, movendo-se continente em direção ao mar. O sistema foi registrado modelos numéricos observações in-situ (boia navio) desde o dia que se formou até dissipar. objetivo deste trabalho é utilizar os dados coletados durante essa condição ambiental extrema uma comparação estatística com modelo atmosférico operacional Global Forecast System (GFS) implementação local de ondas WAVEWATCH III (WW3), utiliza GFS como dos inputs, para entender as limitações desses modelos. Inicialmente, resultados mostraram próximo à era explosivo forte acordo a classificação Sanders Gyakum (1980). Descobrimos WW3 apresentaram maiores erros da boia período 48 horas condições meteorológicas explosivas, enquanto GFS, redor navio ocorreram após esse período. Os podem ser explicados pela diferença profundidade ponto grade WW3, nessa localização.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Revista Brasileira De Meteorologia
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['0102-7786', '1982-4351']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/0102-77863810002